Cover Image for 2026 Predictions Forecasting
Cover Image for 2026 Predictions Forecasting
Avatar for Applied Rationality Toronto
Approaching complex topics with compassion, nuance, and mindfulness.
9 Going
Registration
Welcome! To join the event, please register below.
About Event

Join us to practice forecasting skills as we look ahead to 2026!

Timing:
Sunday, January 18th, 2PM - 4PM!

2:00 - 2:45 PM: Flextime & Socializing

Drop in whenever works for you during this window. Grab a beverage, reconnect with familiar faces, and meet new community members. This is unstructured time to chat about whatever interests you; such as, recent reads, projects you're working on, or simply catch up from the holidays.

2:45 - 4:00 PM: Predictions for 2026

We'll collaboratively make predictions about the year ahead across various domains: technology, politics, science, personal goals, and whatever else the group finds interesting. We'll practice:

  • Assigning probabilities to our predictions

  • Calibrating our confidence levels

  • Operationalizing vague claims into testable forecasts

  • Recording predictions for review at next year's meetup

Manifold is the Prediction Market that we will be using during this meetup. Do make an account before the meetup by visiting the Manifold website: https://manifold.markets?r=U2Vhbm55MTIz

Health & Care Note:
If you’re feeling unwell or have any cold, flu, or COVID-like symptoms, we ask that you stay home. If possible, please test before setting out to attend. We appreciate your consideration in helping protect one another.

Location
30 Adelaide St E
Toronto, ON M5C 3G8, Canada
Enter the main lobby of the building and let the security staff know you are here for the Rationality meetup. You may need to show your RSVP on your phone. You will be directed to the 12th floor where the meetup is held. If you have trouble getting in, email [email protected].
Avatar for Applied Rationality Toronto
Approaching complex topics with compassion, nuance, and mindfulness.
9 Going