Prediction Markets: The Next Financial Primitive?
Prediction Markets: The Next Financial Primitive? - Tradable probabilities and the emergence of a new financial asset class
👉 Prediction markets are skyrocketing from niche betting platforms into a legitimate financial primitive. Event contracts, binary instruments that pay $1 if an outcome occurs, are attracting an increasing number of serious and institutional traders.
👉 They are also becoming a wisdom-of-the-crowd aggregation layer over news providers. This is both a financial and a cultural trend that may reshape how information is aggregated, validated, and spread across society.
👉 The mainstream entry is in plain sight: Kalshi now provides real-time probability data to Fox News, CNN, and CNBC. Polymarket is the official prediction market partner of X, Yahoo Finance, the Wall Street Journal, MLB, UFC, and the NHL. The NYSE's parent company invested $2 billion. Combined trading volume exceeded $37 billion in 2025 alone.
👉 Professional infrastructure and tooling, including reliable AI-agentic workflows, is emerging to support the needs of serious traders seeking to capture alpha or use event contracts as hedges or insurance.
👉 What are the next steps for prediction markets as a financial primitive, and how can controllable and reliable AI agentic workflows enhance profitability? We will seek the answer together during this event.
🎤 Speakers:
🎙 Adhi Rajaprabhakaran — Founder & Managing Partner, 5cc Capital. Trader #2 at Kalshi Trading. Author of 50¢ Dollars.
🎙 Noah Zingler-Sternig — Founder & General Partner, 5cc Capital. Former Head of Operations, Kalshi Exchange.
🎙 Jan Czarnocki — Chief of Staff, Elastics. Geopolitical Prediction Markets Trader.
Organized by Elastics and Swiss Fintech Association. Hosted by CV Labs. In partnership with Crypto Valley Association.
📍 Event Details
📅 Friday, 15th May, 2026
📍 CV Labs, Dammstrasse 16, 6300, Zug
18:00 — Doors open
18:10 — Opening remarks by Elastics team & Swiss Fintech Association
18:15 — Adhi Rajaprabhakaran, Founder & Managing Partner, 5c(c) Capital. Trader #2 at Kalshi. Author of 50¢ Dollars. Topic: How AI Will Transform the Market Structure of Prediction Markets
18:35 — Noah Zingler-Sternig, Founder & General Partner, 5c(c) Capital. Former Head of Operations, Kalshi Exchange. Topic: How Prediction Markets Make Society Smarter
18:55 — Eli Goldfine, Author of Super Cycle blog. Topic: Insider Trading & Prediction Markets
19:05 — Jan Czarnocki, Chief of Staff, Elastics. Topic: AI Agents for Prediction Markets
19:20 — Open Q&A and panel discussion
19:40 — Networking, drinks & food
21:30 — Event closes