Failing to Understand the Exponential (Again)

​Every generation underestimates what comes next. We are doing it again, right now, in real time.

The models releasing this year will be more capable than most forecasts from 18 months ago. The ones arriving in 2026 will make today’s look like rehearsals. And yet the strategic, institutional, and human response remains calibrated to a world that no longer exists.

RAISE Summit convenes 30 Founders & Investors for a private dinner at Kokkari, San Francisco, on April 8th. The conversation will not rehash what happened. It will confront what is coming.

Three questions will anchor the evening:
Global Frontier Models. Who builds them, who controls them, and what happens to everyone else. The race to the frontier is compressing. The gap between leaders and followers is not.
The Decade Ahead. Where do we actually stand on the capability curve? What does a world with 10x, 100x more capable systems look like for capital, labor, geopolitics, and the nature of competitive advantage itself? Compute is the new oil, energy is the new moat, and AI factories are the new industrial infrastructure. The nations and companies that control the stack -- from electrons to tokens -- will define the next era of economic and strategic power.
AGI: Pathways to Superintelligence and Deployment. Not the philosophical debate. The operational one. What are the realistic timelines, the genuine risks, and the decisions that need to be made now by the people in this room?

No slides. No livestream. Chatham House Rule.

Thirty people. One table. The conversation the moment demands.